AL-SHABAAB’S EVOLUTION: STRATEGIC OR FORCED? An assessment of the group’s strategic, operational, and governance transformation and what drives it.

This study analyses the recent strategic and tactical evolution of Al‑Shabaab (AS), arguing that the group’s nearly two decades of survival stem less from raw military strength and more from its ability to adapt to shifting military, political, social, and economic conditions. Al‑Shabaab has moved away from an approach centred...